Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.110642 0.127918 0.146775 0.168855 0.193967 0.221608 0.254303
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.089081 0.113100 0.141594 0.177757 0.222290 0.275182 0.342603
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069340 0.095831 0.129701 0.175877 0.236844 0.314193 0.419305
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.059391 0.088484 0.128214 0.185860 0.266673 0.375119 0.530669
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049786 0.079520 0.122660 0.188909 0.286946 0.425275 0.633423
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040697 0.069425 0.113548 0.184989 0.296125 0.460310 0.718358
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.034069 0.061791 0.106673 0.182957 0.307148 0.498395 0.810951
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.031001 0.059365 0.107469 0.192780 0.337262 0.567867 0.957593
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028201 0.056852 0.107616 0.201295 0.365882 0.637409 1.110646
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023752 0.050506 0.100100 0.195427 0.369293 0.665900 1.199146
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020626 0.046113 0.095393 0.193770 0.379500 0.706234 1.310526
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017554 0.041258 0.089054 0.188102 0.381541 0.732203 1.398862
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015159 0.037458 0.084337 0.185145 0.388693 0.768673 1.510720
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013721 0.035509 0.083101 0.188959 0.409269 0.831591 1.676484
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011750 0.031948 0.077903 0.183841 0.411451 0.860060 1.780436
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011050 0.031325 0.079064 0.192453 0.442608 0.947125 2.003938
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009989 0.029586 0.077416 0.194611 0.460358 1.009194 2.183679
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.008666 0.026890 0.073088 0.190050 0.462994 1.040805 2.305034
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007641 0.024796 0.069892 0.187678 0.470126 1.082173 2.449540
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007330 0.024682 0.071673 0.197567 0.506212 1.187774 2.736299
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006975 0.024368 0.072885 0.206182 0.540179 1.291546 3.027080
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006055 0.022122 0.068574 0.200131 0.538507 1.316809 3.150275
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005411 0.020614 0.066055 0.198410 0.547143 1.365762 3.329216